SecurityGauge Methodology

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Generate a custom crime and security risk assessment for any address.

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Crime risk data with 10 meter resolution.
Risk assessment will never be the same.

Your Business needs accurate crime risk data for any address.

For site selection. Security staffing. Underwriting risk. Investing in buildings. Negotiating leases. Targeting markets. These are all high cost, high risk decisions that you have to make.

Using the right tools means superior results with less work. The right tool is accurate crime risk information for specific addresses. Since crime risk often varies more from address to address within cities than it does between most cities, you can’t afford to risk your budget and company by using inaccurate and broad-brush city-wide, Zip Code, or census tract numbers. You need to know the risks for the address where your facility, customer, or insured is located. And you need the information to be instant, objective, and accurate.

You’ve come to the right place.

Until now, accurately quantifying crime risk for an address has been hindered by two prevailing impediments:

  • Incomplete & inaccurate crime counts at the city level due to an agency-centric rather than geographic-centric method of reporting to the Federal Government.
  • The lack of reported crime locations by most law enforcement agencies, making it difficult to determine the actual neighborhoods where most crimes in America occur, and hence, where crime risk is greatest.
  • As a result, crime risk information that businesses currently rely on is incomplete because it is often built only from a single local law enforcement agency’s data in any location, often uses a ‘one model fits all’ approach nationwide that diminishes accuracy, and frequently has limited validation in the real world.

We address these issues in the pioneering approach SecurityGauge®uses to build its proprietary crime risk analytics. See how below.

Most city and town crime data are incomplete and inaccurate because crimes are reported by individual law enforcement agencies, rather than by city or town, and many cities – even small ones - have more than one agency responsible for law enforcement (municipal, university, county, transit, etc.). Even FBI data are reported by agency not by city or town, providing an incomplete assessment of city-wide crime counts. It is an agency-centric rather than locality-centric reporting method. If you use FBI data, you only get city-wide general counts, and only from one agency in the city, so it is generally incomplete for the city overall, as well as not specific to your site or address.

In addition, crime risk assessment across the nation is hindered further because the majority of law enforcement agencies in the United States do not geocode the specific locations of reported crimes, making it difficult to ascertain the locations and neighborhoods where most crimes occur in America today. Even when we know locations for crimes, the incidents have not been normalized based on resident and visitor population in the vicinity of an address, so risks simply cannot be accurately quantified.

SecurityGauge®solves these deficiencies with a new approach that delivers precision crime risk by address.

Our Methodology

Start with Complete and Accurate Crime Counts

To address these issues, SecurityGauge®begins by collecting raw crime data from all 18,000 law enforcement agencies in America. Then we use a relational database built from the ground up to assign reported crimes from each agency to the city where it has law enforcement responsibility. This method provides an accurate representation of the complete number and types of crimes that are truly known to occur within any city or town.

Complete accurate

One model does not fit all.

With this exclusive and comprehensive foundation of crime counts, SecurityGauge then uses more than 80 proprietary computer models developed by its Ph.D. experts over nearly a decade of research to statistically predict the number and rates for every major type of crime for every community in America.

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Traditional approach is to build one model and apply it everywhere.

We tested that. It doesn’t work. Places are different. Dynamics that create crime risk differ.

Just like one size fits all shoes aren’t great fits, so it is true of predictive models.

SecurityGauge®built more than 80 models to apply to clusters of locations.

National Validation = Precision.

Since we know the numbers of reported crimes that actually occur in each community because of our exclusive approach, we are uniquely able to validate our models against the only comprehensive location-centric crime database in the U.S. with complete national coverage.

  • SecurityGauge®Crime Data is validated on more than 8,000 cities nationwide.
  • SecurityGauge® has proven predictive accuracy that consistently exceeds 90%.
  • Delivering accurate and validated crime risk analytics
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Superior spatial depth – 10 meter resolution

With validated precision models for every major crime type, SecurityGauge®then builds crime risk data for nearly a quarter of a million neighborhoods all across the U.S. This forms a dense net of crime data that is input to our spatial risk models resulting in a national data base of 10 meter resolution crime risk data for the entire U.S.

Your custom crime risk calculation is generated on demand from these data and is based upon a distance weighted cone of influence around any specified address. The crime risk calculation is weighted most heavily nearest the address and lessens as it progresses outward, depending on distance and population.

This is because crime risk can be visited on your site not only from the risk at your door, but by risks in your vicinity where threats may emerge. So in dense cities, the cone of crime risk influence on your address is closer to your site, as it should be. In suburban or rural areas, the cone of influence is allowed to extend further outward.

Complete National Coverage

SecurityGauge®provides the same level of precision and accuracy for every address in America. All 50 states and DC, Puerto Rico, and US Virgin Islands.

No redlining. Ever.

SecurityGauge®never uses data on race, ethnicity, ancestry, or language for any of its crime risk analytics. Much like other spatially expressed risks such as flood, earthquake and hail, SecurityGauge predicts the risk of being a victim of a crime at an address, and is not an indicator that an individual is likely to participate in criminal behavior. In fact, SecurityGauge uses no information on the household or housing structure at the address as part of the crime risk assessment. Rather, it is the risks that can be visited upon the address due to its location and proximity to conditions proven to generate higher crime risk. One may be in a high crime risk location, just like one may be in a high risk location for flood, earthquakes, hail or other hazards. Race is not a factor which is relevant to assessing crime risk, just like it is not relevant to assessing these other risks.

Because it is not relevant, SecurityGauge does not include any information on race, ethnicity, ancestry or language, and SecurityGauge treats all locations equally when the locations are comparable in all respects relevant to crime risk.

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