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Herndon, VA crime analytics

Source & Methodology

Analytics built by:   Location, Inc.

Raw data sources:   18,000 local law enforcement agencies in the U.S.

Date(s) & Update Frequency:   Reflects 2021 calendar year; released from FBI in Oct. 2022 (latest available). Updated annually. Where is 2022 data?

Methodology:   Our nationwide meta-analysis overcomes the issues inherent in any crime database, including non-reporting and reporting errors. This is possible by associating the 9.4 million reported crimes in the U.S, including over 2 million geocoded point locations…. Read more about Scout's Crime Data

The crime rate in Herndon is considerably higher than the national average across all communities in America from the largest to the smallest, although at 14 crimes per one thousand residents, it is not among the communities with the very highest crime rate. The chance of becoming a victim of either violent or property crime in Herndon is 1 in 70. Based on FBI crime data, Herndon is not one of the safest communities in America. Relative to Virginia, Herndon has a crime rate that is higher than 74% of the state's cities and towns of all sizes.

How does the crime rate in Herndon compare to similar sized communities across America? When NeighborhoodScout compared Herndon with other communities its size, we found that the crime rate was near the average for all other communities of similar size. So, whether Herndon's crime rate is high or low compared to all places in the US, when we control for population size and compare it to places that are similar in size, it is near the middle of the pack in crime rate; not much more or less dangerous, and about what we would expect from the statistics.

Now let us turn to take a look at how Herndon does for violent crimes specifically, and then how it does for property crimes. This is important because the overall crime rate can be further illuminated by understanding if violent crime or property crimes (or both) are the major contributors to the general rate of crime in Herndon.

From our analysis, we discovered that violent crime in Herndon occurs at a rate higher than in most communities of all population sizes in America. The chance that a person will become a victim of a violent crime in Herndon; such as armed robbery, aggravated assault, rape or murder; is 1 in 487. This equates to a rate of 2 per one thousand inhabitants.

Significantly, based on the number of murders reported by the FBI and the number of residents living in the town, NeighborhoodScout's analysis shows that Herndon experiences one of the higher murder rates in the nation when compared with cities and towns for all sizes of population, from the largest to the smallest.

NeighborhoodScout's analysis also reveals that Herndon's rate for property crime is 12 per one thousand population. This makes Herndon a place where there is an above average chance of becoming a victim of a property crime, when compared to all other communities in America of all population sizes. Property crimes are motor vehicle theft, arson, larceny, and burglary. Your chance of becoming a victim of any of these crimes in Herndon is one in 81.

Herndon Crime Data

total Crime Index

34

(100 is safest)


Safer than 34% of U.S. neighborhoods.

Herndon Annual Crimes

  Violent Property Total

Number of Crimes

50

299

349

Crime Rate
(per 1,000 residents)

2.05

12.28

14.34

Violent Crime

Violent Crime Comparison (per 1,000 residents)

20 15 10 5 0
2.05
2.27
National Median: 4
    Herndon
    Virginia

Chances of Becoming a Victim of a Violent Crime

1 in 487

in Herndon

1 in 440

in Virginia

Herndon Violent Crimes

Population: 24,339
Murder Rape Robbery Assault
Report Total 4 7 20 19
Rate per 1,000 0.16 0.29 0.82 0.78

United States Violent Crimes

Population: 331,888,310
Murder Rape Robbery Assault
Report Total 22,941 144,285 202,155 943,774
Rate per 1,000 0.07 0.43 0.61 2.84

Property Crime

Property Crime Comparison (per 1,000 residents)

100 75 50 25 0
12.28
14.78
National Median: 19
    Herndon
    Virginia

Chances of Becoming a Victim of a Property Crime

1 in 81

in Herndon

1 in 68

in Virginia

Property Crimes

Population: 24,339
burglary theft motor vehicle theft
Report Total 16 259 24
Rate per 1,000 0.66 10.64 0.99

United States Property Crimes

Population: 331,888,310
burglary theft motor vehicle theft
Report Total 899,656 4,626,970 890,179
Rate per 1,000 2.71 13.94 2.68

Herndon Crimes Per Square Mile

200 150 100 50 0
82
17
National Median: 26.8
    Herndon
    Virginia