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NeighborhoodScout Releases its 6th Annual Top 100 Most Dangerous U.S. Cities List

Jan 1, 2016 | by: The NeighborhoodScout Team | Media


Paul Gallagher
Director of Marketing
Location, Inc.

Worcester, Mass., January 26, 2016 — NeighborhoodScout, a nationwide neighborhood search engine and provider of location based analytics for real-estate investors, mortgage professionals and homebuyers, has just released its 6th annual top 100 most dangerous U.S. cities list for 2016.

This annual list is comprised of cities with a population of 25,000 or more and is based on the number of violent crimes per 1,000 residents. Violent crimes include murder, rape, armed robbery, and aggravated assault. Data used for this research are 1) the number of violent crimes reported to the FBI to have occurred in each city, and 2) the population of each city.

What makes NeighborhoodScout’s analysis more comprehensive than others is the fact that it takes into account all 18,000 law enforcement agencies in the U.S. Many cities across the country are served by more than one agency (municipal police, county sheriff, transit police, etc.). By using this unique method, NeighborhoodScout is able to provide the only holistic representation of total crime known to occur within a city or town – not just those reported by a single agency.

Rankings of the country’s most dangerous cities tend to defy stereotypes — and, if the list below is any indication — it shows several interesting trends.

NeighborhoodScout’s Top 100 Most Dangerous Cities – 2016

  1. East St. Louis, IL* (2015 Rank: N/A)
  2. Camden, NJ (2015 Rank: 1)
  3. Detroit, MI (2015 Rank: 3)
  4. Alexandria, LA (2015 Rank: 11)
  5. Wilmington, DE (2015 Rank: 9)
  1. Memphis, TN (2015 Rank: 10)
  2. Flint, MI (2015 Rank: 7)
  3. Saginaw, MI (2015 Rank: 4)
  4. Oakland, CA (2015 Rank: 5)
  5. St. Louis, MO (2015 Rank: 14)
Complete List (11 – 100)

*East St. Louis, IL failed to report their crime statistics to the FBI in 2015.

NeighborhoodScout research uncovered that in the past year East St. Louis, IL saw 967 violent crimes (murder, rape, armed robbery, and aggravated assault). While these numbers are much less than its next door neighbor St. Louis, MO with 5,351 violent crimes, factoring in population size is what pushes East St. Louis, IL to the top of the list. Neighborhood research uncovered that a resident’s chance of becoming a victim of a violent crime in one year in East St. Louis is a scary 1 in 28.

“With our 2016 report on the most dangerous cities, what we’re seeing is a really different picture of the types of locations that have the highest violent crime from what many people expect,” said Andrew Schiller, CEO and founder of NeighborhoodScout. “Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles and New York were all absent from our list despite being the centers for some of the largest urban areas in the nation. While large cities can have large numbers of violent crime, when normalizing for population, the violent crime rate is often not as high as one would think and therefore a resident’s risk of becoming a victim is not as high as in some mid-sized cities with very high rates of violence.

This doesn’t mean that large cities do not make the list. Many do: Detroit, Oakland, MemphisHouston, Miami and others earn spots on NeighborhoodScout’s most dangerous cities list. But not all large cities are dangerous, and NeighborhoodScout’s analysis reveals that a number of them break the stereotypes of violence that are unnecessarily tarnishing their reputations and harming their economic prospects.

In recent years the picture of violence in America has been changing. “This is partially due to the increasing attraction of central cities to businesses, consequent job growth in urban cores near transit hubs, and a shift of the young and educated from the suburbs into the city,” says Schiller. “The result is increasing real estate values near high paying jobs in urban centers which puts pressure on lower income households to relocate to lower cost housing, often found in low-amenity inner-ring suburbs or in older industrial satellite cities on the perimeter of the larger city.” The result is that crime follows.

This matches up with the report: the list’s top-ten is devoid of America’s very largest cities (New York, Los Angeles and Chicago). Only 3 are big cities (Oakland 9, Memphis 6, and Detroit 3). The rest of the top ten are smaller, often nearby cities – sometimes just a few miles outside of the primary city – with lower housing costs and an industrial legacy,” explains Schiller.

NeighborhoodScout provides over 300 must see statistics on crime, home values, appreciation rates, trends and forecasts, quality of schools, rental market and much more. For more information on personal, business and data licensing, visit: https://www.NeighborhoodScout.com

Previous Top 100 Most Dangerous Cities Lists

About Location, Inc.

Location, Inc. is a geographic research and data mining company born of university research and one of the leading providers of location-based data and tools used by corporations for risk analysis. Location, Inc. specializes in location analysis, quantifying and mapping of crime and security risks, structure fire risk, demographic and school data information products, and location-based decision-making tools for businesses and consumers. More than 44 million people and businesses have used Location, Inc. data and services since the Company’s 2000 inception, including its famous NeighborhoodScout website for consumers.